Weather Forecasting And You
Jokes aside about the weatherman, I am pretty sure that weather forecasting isn’t voodoo. That said, the forecasts change as the path of the hurricane moves.
So if you were not part of the ‘cone’ but then the hurricane moved, the idea that people don’t change their plans isn’t reasonable.
When the topic switches to money, they switch logic that they would never use on a day-to-day basis in order to survive. WHYOHWHYOHWHY. Wrongly formulated oversimplifications, and then “look it worked, I was right” on top.
Don’t get me wrong: I have witnessed very smart people with more than enough experience and academic chops to fully understand everything that I have mentioned, and they fail to adjust. It is that prevalent.